Welsh Open Golf Betting Tips
It’s the week before the Ryder Cup which takes place at Gleneagles and some of the team are opting to use this weeks Welsh Open as a warm up event including Lee Westwood whose form has been inconsistent of late. The Englishman was part of the 2010 European Ryder Cup team which beat America at The Celtic Manor Resort by a single point.
Last years winner was Gregory Bourdy who shot eight under par to claim his fourth title on the European Tour. This years European Ryder Cup Captain Paul McGinley won this event back in 2001 and so have Ian Poulter and Graeme McDowell who are both in Paul’s side.
The Celtic Manor Resort is the permanent home of the Welsh Open and has now hosted this event since 2000. It is also well known for hosting the 2012 Ryder cup which was won by Colin Montgomerie’s Europe. The course is a par 71 that will play 7352 yards which is relatively long, it features five testing par three’s and four par five’s including the 18th hole. Celtic Manor has proved to be a difficult course over the last three years with the winning scores being 6 under, 6 under and 9 under par, expect a similar winning score this year if the wind gets up once again.
The crowd will inevitably be routing for Welshman Jamie Donaldson to win this week and he has a great chance after winning the Czech Masters towards the end of August, Jamie is 14/1 favourite. Lee Westwood comes into this week amongst favourites despite performing inconsistently throughout the season, the Englishman can be backed at 18/1 ahead of the Ryder Cup next week. Last weeks KLM Open winner Paul Casey hit an impressive 84.7% of greens in regulation which shows how well he is playing, it’s no surprise to see Casey priced as the 16/1 third favourite. Final mentions go to Thomas Bjorn and Stephen Gallacher who are both in the European Ryder Cup side next week, Gallacher and Bjorn can be backed at 25/1 and 40/1.
Pablo Larrazabal – I don’t understand Pablo’s odds this week, he’s a great bet at 66/1… The Spaniard was leading the KLM Open last week after two rounds, he then posted a 75 in the third round. Larrazabal followed that up with a 65 on the final day to finish in 5th position just four shots behind the winner Paul Casey. Last weeks performance suggests that he is playing well, he hit 70.8% of greens in regulation. Pablo is a top player and is more than capable of competing at the top of the leaderboard, he has three wins on the European Tour to his name including the Abu Dhabi HSBC Golf Championship which he won earlier this year. To add even more weight to the argument Larrazabal has a good record in this event and around this course. He finished 28th here in 2012, fourth in 2011, 26th in 2009 and finally 15th in 2008, these results show that he can perform well around Celtic Manor.
Tyrrell Hatton – I’m happy to back Hatton again this week at 70/1. In the KLM Open Tyrrell finished in 11th position largely due to a nine on the par 5 12th during his third round, a par would have led to a 4th place finish and a decent each way return. It was still a decent week for the Englishman who played well from tee to green hitting 69.4% of greens in regulation which suggests he is playing well. A couple of weeks ago Hatton finished 3rd in the Omega European Masters which again shows that he is playing well. A cross between driving distance and driving accuracy is important this week in my opinion and Hatton is ranked 46th on the European Tour this year in terms of driving accuracy and 86th in terms of driving distance. Finally I mentioned last week that I thought Hatton was ready for his first win on the European Tour and I stand by that, he has recorded 2nd, 3rd and 4th place finishes on the European Tour already this season.
Emiliano Grillo – The young Argentine is a big price at 100/1 given the talent he holds. He comes into this week off the back of a couple of good performances on the European Tour. A couple of weeks ago Grillo finished 25th in the Omega European Masters and he followed that up last week with a 22nd place finish in the KLM Open. In Holland Grillo played very well hitting 67.3% of fairways and 68.1% of greens in regulation which suggest he is playing well. Driving accuracy and distance are equally important this week and so far this year Grillo is ranked 22nd in terms of driving accuracy and 28th in terms of driving distance. Finally Emiliano has played in this event on two occasions finishing 35th in 2012 and 18th last year which suggests he can perform well around Celtic Manor.
Raphael Jacquelin – Jacquelin has had a poor season for his standards but he is a far better player than these odds suggest. He has four European Tour wins including the Open De Espana last year as well as 21 2nd and 3rd place finishes over the past 15 years. Raphael still has some work to do if he wants to play in the Race to Dubai, this should motivate him to perform well in Wales this week. The Frenchman missed six cuts in a row recently until the Omega European Masters where he finished in 40th position, he followed that performance up with an 11th place finish last week in the KLM Open. He played well from tee to green hitting 66.7% of greens in regulation as well as shooting a final round of 65. Jacquelin has a top record around Celtic Manor, he finished 18th in 2012 20th in 2010, 3rd in 2008, 25th in 2007 and 17th in 2005 which shows he can perform well around this course. He’s well worth a bet at 125/1 in my opinion.