Turkish Airlines Open Betting Tips 13th November 2014
The penultimate event of the European Tour season gets underway on Thursday and a very strong field has assembled itself as you would expect when a huge sum of money is up for grabs ($7million purse). Henrik Stenson, Sergio Garcia and Martin Kaymer all feature and are among the favourites to win in Turkey this week. Last years Turkish Airlines Open winner was Victor Dubuisson who had an excellent Ryder Cup for team Europe just over a month ago, the Frenchman has a great future ahead of him in my opinion and he’ll be looking to retain his title this week.
The Course – The Montgomerie Maxx Royal
Course Yardage 7100
The Montgomerie Maxx Royal opened in 2008 and is a Colin Montgomerie designed course, it was the host of this event last year therefore we do have a decent idea of what is required to win this week. The Maxx Royal consists of five par 5’s, five par 3’s and just eight par 4’s which is unusual, it does favour those who excel on par 5’s and possibly struggle on par 4’s. Victor Dubuisson won last years Turkish Airlines Open and shot 24 under par in doing so, this immediately suggests what an easy course this is, consequently i’ll be looking to back those players that can shoot the low scores required to win in Turkey. Many of the holes are treelined which does favour the accurate drivers of the ball however Tiger Woods hit just 38.5% of fairways last year and finished in third position which does suggest that driving accuracy is not all that important.
Tommy Fleetwood – Tommy is one of the best English players on the European Tour nowadays. He recorded his first European Tour victory last year in the Johnnie Walker Championship and he’s come close to his second on a few occasions this season. Fleetwood has finished inside the top ten on seven occasions this year and has finished in 2nd place on three occasions, he really has been playing some great golf. Just two weeks ago in the BMW Championship he finished in 39th position and he followed that up with a tie for 24th in the WGC HSBC Champions last week, where he hit 70.8% of greens in regulation, his putting really let him down. The ability to shoot low scores is key this week as The Montgomerie Maxx Royal is a relatively easy course and Tommy is more than capable of going low, he’s shot 15 under par or lower on four occasions this year.
Shane Lowry – Lowry is one of the better players on the European Tour these days and i’m happy to back him at 50/1. Shane has two victories to his name which suggests he is more than capable of winning this week, he also finished 9th in the Open Championship earlier this year. The Irishman recently tweeted “Now on to Turkey this week for the #TurkishAirlinesOpen. Big 2 weeks coming up to finish the year off.” This may not mean much but it does show he’s taking this event seriously and he appreciates that it’s a big event.
This season has been Lowry’s most consistent despite failing to win, he has finished inside the top 15 on nine occasions and just two weeks ago he tied for 16th in the BMW Masters, this implies that his game is in good shape. Last year Lowry finished 44th in this event which isn’t great however he was twelve under par for his final two rounds which suggests he can shoot low scores around The Montgomerie Maxx Royal.
Stephen Gallacher – I think Stephen is being underrated after a disappointing Ryder Cup, he’s proved over the last couple of years that he’s a better player than his Ryder Cup performance, 66/1 is a generous price in my opinion. The Scotsman is a three time European Tour winner and all three of those victories came around low scoring courses, a low score will be needed in Turkey this week. Gallacher has had the best season of his career and he’ll be looking to finish it on a high, he’s recorded eight top finishes this year which is an amazing achievement. Stephen has played in the BMW Masters and the WGC – HSBC Champions recently and he finished 36th and 24th in those, which are fairly decent results considering the fields were relatively strong. In last weeks HSBC Champions Gallacher hit 73.6% of greens in regulation, only five players hit more which suggests he’s playing well from tee to green, he simply putted really poorly. Finally Gallacher finished 25th in this event last year which is pretty respectable, it implies he can perform well around this course.